The forces fueling 2020’s oil bust
 
Narrator: The Corona virus has emptied out cities. Fewer people are driving cars or boarding planes. Factories are idled. As a result, the world is burning less oil. But many of the world's major oil producers have been pumping more than ever, leading to a crash in oil prices. Low prices normally put cash in the pockets of drivers and fuel burning businesses like airlines. But this is different. Jim Burkhard: "Consumers like low prices. But in today's environment where so many people quanarntine. People cannot benefit from low oil prices. So there's no winner in this current situation. And let's say that the current bust is so bad. It can radically reshape the oil market. Here's how we got here.

Oil producer's most pressing problem is that a lot of
people don't need its products. By April, the consumption of petroleum in the US had fallen to the lowest levels in at least 30 years. Demand for gasoline has declined by nearly half since mid-March. Jet fuel consumption plunged by more than 70% since then. The trend is similar around the globe. It started in China where the first of billions of people around the world began to shelter in place to slow the spread of the deadly virus. Fatih Birol: "For 2020, oil demand, oil consumption will decline. It increased every year, but decline because of what's happening in China. What is happening in the global economy? This is one reason. Narrator: By late March, billions of people around the world were staying home. Analysts estimate that global demand for crude oil will decline by about a third or about 30 million barrels a day during the pandemic. Meanwhile, oil is piling up with nowhere to go. Pipelines are filling; refineries and storage tanks, like these, are brimming. And some oil is being stashed at sea on ships. That's because the global pandemic arrived right as production around the world was surging. In recent years, the Saudi led Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other nations, like Russia, have coordinated production cuts and tended to prop up oil prices. They were working together to buoy prices as US producers flooded the market. But the truce was short lived. In early March, Russia and Saudi Arabia couldn't come to terms on a new round of cuts and Saudi Arabia turned on its taps. CNN: "Market turmoil is about more than just the virus. Oil prices suffered historic collapse late Sunday after Saudi Arabia shocked the market by launching a price war against one time ally Russia." Narrator: Meanwhile, US producers continued to pump even as prices fell. Us production hit a record of 13.1 million barrels a day in late February and stayed around there through March. US companies were reluctant to slow down, having borrowed heavily in recent years to drill wells, build pipelines, and maintain fleets of expensive machinery. With billions of dollars of debt coming due, they couldn't afford to stop pumping. But by late March, already low oil prices had fallen by more than a half. And the pain became unbearable. You can see it in this chart, which shows the number of drilling rigs in Canada and the United States. The drilling rig count declined as companies cut their budgets in mid-March. By April US production began declining. In April, Saudi Arabia and Russia, where the governments are supported by oil sales, rekindled their market Alliance. They convened a group of 23 oil producing nations who agreed to once again restrict output and support prices. They agreed to reduce their collective output by about 10 million barrels a day. So far, the market has not been impressed. Goldman Sachs analyst called it a historic, yet insufficient cut. Oil prices fell and trading opened the next day. "What's a really fascinating question for the energy industry for the oil industry is will this dialogue between Saudi Arabia, Russia, the United States, and others, will endure beyond immediate crisis? We could be entering a new era of international dialogue on the oil market of the like we've never seen before.
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